After 8 years of an Obama Executive Branch emperor-ship loaded down with more rounds of golf than any other president in history— more than any combined, lavish trips with and without the family (including Michelle’s trips without him), posh celebrity-stacked parties, bowing and apologizing to the entire world for our history and accomplishments that most times rectified their own oppression and suffering, and stirring the racial shit pot in our own country, not to mention the ongoing political contests and MSM self-censoring and ‘editing’ to drive one narrative for one candidate/political party within an election year, Victor Davis Hanson finds alarming similarities to other eras when world wars eventually broke out and warns “A hard rain is going to fall”…
Wars often seem to come out of nowhere, as unlikely events ignite long-simmering disputes into global conflagrations.
The instigators often are weaker attackers who foolishly assume that more powerful nations wish peace at any cost, and so will not react to opportunistic aggression.
Unfortunately, our late-summer calm of 2016 has masked a lot of festering tensions that are now coming to a head — largely due to disengagement by a supposedly tired United States.
In contrast, war, unlike individual states, does not sleep.
Human nature is unchanging and remains irrational. Evil is eternal. Unfortunately, appeasement is often seen by thugs not as magnanimity to be reciprocated but as timidity to be exploited.
Someone soon will have to tell the North Koreans that a stable world order cannot endure its frequent missile launches and nuclear detonations.
Someone could remind Putin that the former Soviet republics have a right to self-determination.
Someone might inform the Chinese that no one can plop down artificial islands and military bases to control commercial sea lanes.
Someone might make it clear to radical Islamic terrorists that there is a limit to Western patience with their chronic bombing, murdering and destruction.
The problem is that there is no other “someone” (especially not the United Nations or the European Union) with the requisite power and authority except the United States. But for a long time America has done more than its fair share of international policing — and its people are tired of costly dragon-slaying abroad.
The result is that at this late date, the tough medicine of restoring long-term deterrence is as almost as dangerous as the disease of continual short-term appeasement.
Obama apparently assumes he can leave office as a peacemaker before his appeased chickens come home to roost in violent fashion. He has assured us that the world has never been calmer and quieter.
Others said the same thing in the last calm summer weeks of 1914 and 1939.
War clouds are gathering. A hard rain is soon going to fall.
Read the whole thing.
Of course VDH lists radical Islamists (ISIS), Russia and Iran among those heavy drops of rain. And of course he includes the civil unrest growing in our own nation.
It is a massive powder keg.